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Topic: Solar Storm Informant
Replies: 122   Pages: 9   Last Post: Feb 9, 2007 2:18 AM by: Ray Rolfe

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Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Nov 10, 2005 11:05 PM
  Reply

Expedition 12 Commander Bill McArthur and Flight Engineer Valery Tokarev will get a special musical wakeup call this weekend as Paul McCartney connects with them live from a concert in Anaheim, Calif. The call will take place at 11:55 p.m. CST Saturday and will be broadcast live on NASA Television.


http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2005/nov/HQ_05406_mccartney_wakeup.html

The Song? HERE COMES THE SUN!

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Nov 15, 2005 4:49 AM
  Reply
current_c3small.mpg (256.3 K)
current_c2.mpg (944.1 K)
current_eit_171small.mpg (545.8 K)
current_eit_195small.mpg (837.8 K)
current_eit_304small.mpg (840.5 K)

The sun has been very quite for a while. Disturbingly quiet.

But HEADS UP! A comet just did a swan dive as a strong sun spot is rotating into earth facing position. See the movies, expect a strong flare.

For you people with super high speed connections, go for the animated GIF files. They take a minute to load (can be up to 100mb) but once they do, the clarity is worth the wait.
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/gif/ .

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Nov 16, 2005 12:26 AM
  Reply

Um.. what the??

Mysterious Runaway Star Stymies Scientists
By Larry O'Hanlon, Discovery News

Nov. 14, 2005 — Astronomers have stumbled onto a runaway star inbound to our galaxy that might have been kicked out of our nearest galactic neighbor by a supermassive black hole.

http://dsc.discovery.com/news/briefs/20051114/star_spa.html .

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 2, 2005 2:02 AM
  Reply

We have activity.

+

Soho is 10 years old! Wow. I remember. That makes me feel old. Downloading pictures of the sun in C3 on a 56k modem via AOL.. So 1996.
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/hotshots/2005_12_02/


So, ATTENTION PLEASE
What does anyone think about this fantastic gem I just found?
VVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVVV
FROM JAMES DONAHUE
(http://farshores.org/jd053005.htm )

-The Interacting Universe Is Alive And Watching-
How insignificant the mighty affairs of man become when stacked up beside the actions of our living universe.

While our leaders wrestled with threats of nuclear war, an overpopulated planet, loss of natural resources and environmental pollution, the Mother Earth flexed a muscle on Dec. 26, 2004, and sent out a massive earthquake so strong it unleashed one of the worst tsunamis to sweep the Indian Ocean in history. Over 240,000 people died.

Everybody on the planet knows about the Christmas quake, but what they may not know is that exactly 44.6 hours later, gamma ray telescopes orbiting the Earth recorded the arrival of the brightest gamma ray burst ever recorded.

What is spooky about that gamma ray burst is that astrologers determined it originated from SGR 1806-20, a neutron star located about 45,000 light years away from Earth in our own galaxy. Traveling at a speed of a fraction slower than the speed of light, scientists estimate that it took this blast of energy 44.6 hours to reach the Earth.

In other words, that gamma ray blast on the neutron star on the other side of the galaxy occurred at exactly the same moment the Earth was hit by a colossal earthquake measuring an almost unprecedented 9.3 on the Richter scale.

>....<
That blast from a gamma ray from distant space was a warning that the entire universe has its eye on us, and the Mother is not going to be alone in her fight for survival. She is a living, sentient being, just as are the Sun and all of the other moving, vibrating and exploding objects in the universe.

That gamma ray blast, the first ever recorded from a star in our galaxy, was 100 times more intense than any burst previously recorded. It equaled the brightness of the full Moon, but radiated most of its energy at gamma ray wavelengths. It had enough power to temporarily change the shape of the Earth?s ionosphere, distorting transmissions of long-wavelength radio signals.

Frightening too is the fact that this little neutron star, only 20 kilometers in diameter, released more energy in a tenth of a second than our Sun emits in 100,000 years. Other more powerful gamma ray bursts have been detected, but all of them originated in other galaxies tens of thousands of times farther away. Thus we have a picture of an extremely active and dangerous universe that has the capability of spewing forth powerful energy bursts capable of destroying us all and without warning.

Dr. Paul LaViolette, in his 1983 doctoral dissertation, examined the potential of cosmic ray superwaves from Galactic core explosions deep in space. He noted that such waves would be signaled by a high intensity gamma ray burst. He also theorized that such waves also might be preceded by a strong gravity wave that travels through space at a superluminal speed.

LaViolette?s thesis is that such gravity waves could induce substantial tidal forces on the Earth during their passage. These forces, he said, could cause earthquakes and polar axis torquing effects.

In his book, Earth Under Fire, LaViolette gives evidence that a superwave passed through the solar system about 14,200 years ago and triggered supernova explosions. These are still observed today as the Vela and Crab supernova as beautifully captured in pictures by the Hubble space telescope.

Had the Dec. 26 gamma ray burst been any closer, based on LaViolette?s calculations, its force would have destroyed the Earth?s protective ozone layer. That would have caused the quick destruction of all life on the planet.

That the disaster was no larger than it was is an indication that the Universe was only sending a warning shot. We have been given a second chance. Failure to act, however, may bring something much more severe the next time around.

MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM

What do you think about that???? Anyone? Anyone?

Gabriel Combs

Posts: 1,497
Registered: Jun 16, 2002
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 2, 2005 2:14 AM
  Reply

maybe we were not the intended, direct target. or we are a mold like cancer (life as we know it) that grows on this infected sphere. we have begun chemo. (?)

Gabriel Combs

Posts: 1,497
Registered: Jun 16, 2002
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 2, 2005 2:25 AM
  Reply

you've given me too much to think about. i'm gettin drunk.

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 3, 2005 3:46 AM
  Reply

haha yeah.
Ive gotta work in mmm 2 - 3 hours... but I'm back fromm CC
A water balloon world record holder had some fresh sun spores for me.

Ay-eye-yiii ITZ.

I sliced my hand wide open washing a broken coffee mug today.

don't hav to do dishes tomarrow. @ Soap Factory by 10am.

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Feb 16, 2006 9:40 PM
  Reply

Now approaching SOLAR MINIMUM.

It's been quite. You've noticed. Good time to look at a movie.
"The sun is an abstract painter"
http://www.space.com/php/video/player.php?video_id=b050715_auroradanger

Ready for SolarCycle 24?? As soon as the sun flips polarity, it's on!

Rosalyn Tuckner

Posts: 1
Registered: Mar 8, 2006
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Mar 8, 2006 12:27 AM
  Reply

My last name is Tuckner as well. We are probably related some how. What is your mother and fathers name??

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Mar 9, 2006 1:42 AM
  Reply

Entertaining non sequitur there Rosalyn. It serves to note that you were still able to register and post, even though this forum is now "underground".

I'll bring it back to the topic here, with some new/old news.

Didn't we allways know about 2012...?
I feel like a little smart guy having calculated this info for myself some years ago. To see it in the science news is validating.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>
Science News

Strong 2012 sunspot cycle is forecast
Mar 6, 2006, 21:02 GMT
BOULDER, CO, United States (UPI) -- Government scientists say the next sunspot cycle will be 30-percent to 50-percent stronger than the last one, and begin as much as a year late.

The unprecedented forecast was made using a computer model of solar dynamics developed by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo.

Scientists predict the next cycle, known as Cycle 24, will produce sunspots across an area slightly larger than 2.5 percent of the visible surface of the sun. The cycle is projected to reach its peak about 2012, one year later than indicated by alternative forecasting methods that rely on statistics.

By analyzing recent solar cycles, the scientists also hope to forecast sunspot activity two solar cycles -- 22 years -- out. The team expects to issue within a year the forecast of Cycle 25, which will peak in the early 2020s.

The researchers expect that predicting the sun`s cycles years in advance will lead to more accurate plans for solar storms, which can slow satellite orbits, disrupt communications, and bring down power systems.

The research results were published on-line in the American Geophysical Union journal Geophysical Research Letters.

Copyright 2006 by United Press International
http://science.monstersandcritics.com/news/article_1135042.php/Strong_2012_sunspot_cycle_is_forecast .

Message was in violation of international copyright by: Ray Rolfe at Mar 8, 2006 11:43 PM (hahah UPI? WTF?)

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 13, 2006 2:42 AM
  Reply
current_c3small.mpg (340.9 K)
current_c2small.mpg (603.8 K)
current_eit_304small.mpg (330.2 K)
current_eit_284small.mpg (247.5 K)
Proton.gif (11.2 K)

Wow, that last mesage was deep. I'm glad I posted that for memory.
You know how there was a 70 degree temp shift last week? (-20 to +50 = 70 degrees!) Well I checked the sun as I'm known to do, and found a massive proton storm was under way. I didn't post that.....

Well Anyway,
*******************
Sunspot 930 has just unleashed another big solar flare, an X3-class explosion at 0240 UT on Dec. 13th (9:40 pm EST on Dec. 12th).

As a result of the blast, a radiation storm is underway. Based on the energy and number of solar protons streaming past Earth, NOAA ranks the storm as category S2: satellites may experience some glitches and reboots, but astronauts are in no danger.

The explosion probably hurled a coronal mass ejection toward Earth. (Confirmation from SOHO is still pending.) Sky watchers should be alert for auroras when it arrives on Dec. 14th or 15th.
*************************

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2006 Dec 13 0605 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center
#
# Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 12 December follow.
Solar flux 102 and mid-latitude A-index 22.
The mid-latitude K-index at 0600 UTC on 13 December was 4 (48 nT).

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level occurred.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S2 level occurred.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be moderate.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S2 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are expected.
***********************************************************

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Dec 14, 2006 12:36 AM
  Reply

NOAA TRACKING SPACE WEATHER EVENT

Dec. 13, 2006 ? A significant geomagnetic storm is expected to impact the Earth beginning early Thursday afternoon around 1:00 p.m. Eastern time, according to forecasters at the NOAA Space Environment Center in Boulder, Colo. Impacts from this event can cause problems with High Frequency communications, satellite operations and induce currents in power grids.

This geomagnetic storm is the result of a strong radio blackout (R3 on the NOAA Space Weather Scales) with an associated moderate (S2) solar radiation storm that was observed by the NOAA space weather forecasters on Tuesday. Also, the SOHO/LASCO instrument observed a powerful and fast-moving coronal mass ejection directed toward Earth with this activity. LASCO (the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph) is a set of three "coronagraph" telescopes onboard the SOHO (Solar & Heliospheric Observatory) satellite. This is a NASA and European Space Agency cooperative effort. Observations from this instrument are used by NOAA space weather forecasters.

?It is a rare occurrence to have a strong event like this so late in the Solar Cycle,? said NOAA Space Weather Forecaster Larry Combs. The NOAA Space Environment Center is monitoring current space weather activity levels and gathering critical real-time space weather data, using the data for the best forecasts and outlooks. SEC is advising its customers?such as NASA, commercial airlines and electric power grid operators?of conditions that directly impact their operation.

The NOAA Space Environment Center, one of the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction, is home to the nation?s early warning system for solar activities that directly affect people and equipment on Earth and in space. SEC?s 24 hour-a-day, seven days-a-week operations are critical in protecting space and ground-based assets. Through the SEC, NOAA and the U.S. Air Force jointly operate the space weather operations center that continuously monitors, analyzes and forecasts the environment between the sun and Earth. In addition to the data gathered from NOAA and NASA satellites, the center receives real-time solar and geophysical information from ground-based observatories around the world.

The NOAA Space Environment Center is the World Warning Agency of the International Space Environment Service, a consortium of eleven member nations. NOAA space weather forecasters use the data to predict solar and geomagnetic activity and issue worldwide alerts of extreme events. SEC plays a key role in support of the nation?s internal infrastructure in partnership with the Department of Defense and Homeland Security.

In 2007 NOAA, an agency of the U.S. Commerce Department, celebrates 200 years of science and service to the nation. Starting with the establishment of the U.S. Coast and Geodetic Survey in 1807 by Thomas Jefferson much of America's scientific heritage is rooted in NOAA. The agency is dedicated to enhancing economic security and national safety through the prediction and research of weather and climate-related events and information service delivery for transportation, and by providing environmental stewardship of the nation's coastal and marine resources. Through the emerging Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS), NOAA is working with its federal partners, more than 60 countries and the European Commission to develop a global monitoring network that is as integrated as the planet it observes, predicts and protects.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>>>>>>
Whoe. EuroCom global monitering network. What?

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Jan 12, 2007 12:29 AM
  Reply
latest2.gif (207.0 K)
current_c3small_NewCometArives.mpg (222.8 K)

HERE COMES ANOTHER HUGE COMET - Like "N.E.A.T".
BRIGHTEST THING IN THE SKY IN 30 YEARS!
BRIGHTER THEN HALEBOPP.
BRIGHTER THEN NEAT!!!

Lets hope it doesn't hit the sun?

Comet McNaught (C/2006 P1) is plunging toward the Sun and brightening dramatically. It is now visible both at sunset and at dawn. In the morning, the comet emerges just ahead of the rising sun. In the evening, it pops out of the western twilight as soon as the sun sets. In both cases, a clear view of the horizon is essential.

http://www.spaceweather.com/comets/gallery_mcnaught.htm .

YOU CAN START TO SEE IT ON SOHO TONIGHT!
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/mpeg/
(look above for mpgs)

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Jan 12, 2007 10:21 PM
  Reply
comet_tail.jpg (20.7 K)
latest2.gif (207.0 K)

Fun times, fun times....

LOOK AT THE PICTURE. It's from the new japan solar B STEREO!!!

Sweetness.

Ray Rolfe

Posts: 3,263
From: Northeast Minneapolis
Registered: Sep 5, 2001
Re: Solar Storm Informant
Posted: Jan 13, 2007 2:08 AM
  Reply

Even the late night dudes at soho are excited!
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/hotshots/ .
***********************
Hotshot


A Bright Comet is coming - Right now!

If you have watched the morning or evening sky these days, you may have spotted a bright object with a prominent tail - comet McNaught (C/2006 P1)! It was discovered on August 7th, 2006 by the hugely successful comet discoverer Rob McNaught (Siding Spring Survey). At time of discovery, the comet was a very faint object, but the predicted perihelion distance (closest distance to the sun) of just 0.17 astronomical units indicated that the object had the potential to become very bright indeed.

Nobody really knows just what this comet will look like at its closest point to the Sun... and that is where SOHO comes in! As you are probably aware, the LASCO instrument on-board SOHO has the ability to watch comets as they get extremely close to the Sun. Fortunately for us, comet McNaught is passing right through the LASCO C3 field of view - the spectacle has just started (January 12, 02:18 UT)!

Current estimates place the brightness of the comet between mag -2 and mag -3. This means it will be brighter than comet NEAT or comet 96P/Machholz. In other words, this could be the brightest and most spectacular comet that SOHO has ever seen! Since LASCO was built to observe the faint solar corona, its exposure times are not tuned to handle objects as bright as this extraordinary comet. In fact, comet McNaught is so bright that it saturates the CCD camera so that "bleeding" occurs along pixel rows. There is a bright horizontal streak on either side of the comet's head, because the charge leaks easier along the direction in which the CCD image is read out by the associated electronics.

The lower the magnitude number, the brighter the object. The brightest stars in the sky are categorized as zero or first magnitude. Negative magnitudes are reserved for the most brilliant objects: the brightest star is Sirius (-1.4); the full Moon is -12.7; the Sun is -26.7.
*************************

edit... solar wind speed increasing dramaticly this hour.
I've watched it go from 150 to 400 today. (KPH)


Message was edited by: Ray Rolfe at Jan 13, 2007 2:35 AM


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